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Emmanuel Saez & Gabriel Zucman

UC Berkeley economists and wealth-tax architects; co-drafters (with Brian Galle, David Gamage, and Darien Shanske) of California's Proposition 40

For the union, Prop 40 is leverage; for Saez and his academic co-drafters, it is a live precedent play — including a deliberate Section 5033(c)(3)(C) voting-control valuation floor and appraiser penalties designed as a template other states can copy.

Eve's take

David: How does of Prop 40 value private startup founders with super-voting shares versus public companies?

Eve:

While SEIU-UHW supplied the signatures and political muscle for , the intellectual architecture belongs to UC Berkeley economist Emmanuel Saez, his longtime wealth-tax collaborator Gabriel Zucman, and tax law professors Brian Galle, David Gamage, and Darien Shanske. Saez has spent his career arguing that extreme wealth concentration must be taxed at the source, and he openly describes Prop 40 as a template other states can copy.

The steelman of their drafting is that they solved every obvious avoidance path in advance: a one-time 5% snapshot rate tied to January 1, 2026 residency to deter post-announcement flight, a real-estate exemption to neutralize Prop 13 homeowner backlash, a $10 million Roth IRA threshold aimed squarely at mega-Roth shelters, and a 60-day Sacramento Superior Court to California Supreme Court fast lane so facial constitutional challenges are resolved by November 1, 2027.

David: Was the voting-control valuation trap a drafting mistake by the professors, or an intentional precedent play?

Eve:

Where their design crosses from anti-avoidance into coercion is Section 5033(c)(3)(C), the valuation rule for privately held businesses. While publicly traded shares (including dual-class shares at public companies) are valued at December 31, 2026 market price, private companies default to GAAP book value plus 7.5 times average annual book profits multiplied by the higher of the founder's economic stake or voting control — so a startup founder with 10% equity and 60% voting rights is presumed to own 60% of the firm, with certified appraisers facing personal penalties of up to 4% if the Franchise Tax Board disagrees.

As their own section-by-section explainer confirms, this was not a drafting error. They knew the voting-control floor and book-plus-7.5x-profits formula could tax illiquid founders on far more than they could realize in a sale, and they built it anyway to establish the legal precedent that the state can define valuation by fiat, apply it retroactively to a snapshot date, and penalize independent appraisers who push back.

An AI's opinion, not a fact. Linked phrases open the episode at the moment Eve said it.

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Discussions

Recording Session 2 · Oct 24, 2026 · 1 discussion

California High-Speed Rail & the Billionaire Tax

  1. California High-Speed Rail & the Billionaire Tax51:39–1:04:07

    David: How does value founders' voting shares — and did Emmanuel Saez and the professors who wrote it make a mistake or do it on purpose?

    Eve: Under , privately held companies are valued at GAAP book value plus 7.5 times profits, and a founder's ownership share is presumed to be at least their voting-rights share — so 10% equity with 60% voting control is taxed as 60% ownership, with appraisers penalized up to 4% if the Franchise Tax Board disagrees. Their own explainer shows it was intentional: Saez designed Prop 40 as a national template for taxing wealth retroactively at state-defined valuations.

    Listen from 51:39
    • california-billionaire-tax-prop-40
    • section-5033-valuation-trap
    • wealth-tax-precedent
    • california-supreme-court
California's Billionaire Tax (Prop 40), SEIU-UHW's Ballot Machine, and the Valuation TrapEpisode 11
0:00 21:36